Stocks Crash as Oil Tops $90

U.S. stocks ended the week with steep losses — Dow down 0.9%, S&P 500 fell 1.3%, Nasdaq lost 1.6% — as oil spiked 12% above $90/barrel on Middle East conflict fears. The selloff was triggered by a surprise drop in monthly jobs and unemployment rising to 4.4%. Energy and utilities are outperforming while tech and consumer discretionary lag in a clear defensive rotation.

The spike in West Texas Intermediate crude is the largest single-day percentage gain on record, with prices hitting their highest level since August 2022. This surge is fueled by escalating conflict in the Middle East, specifically a U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, which has raised fears of significant disruptions to the global oil supply. Concerns are centered on the Strait of Hormuz, a critical channel for global oil shipments. Any prolonged closure of this waterway could impact roughly 20% of the world's daily oil supply, leading to sustained high prices and a potential global economic slowdown. The unexpected loss of 92,000 nonfarm jobs in February marks a significant downturn from the revised 126,000 jobs added in January. This figure was far below analysts' expectations of a 60,000 job gain. The unemployment rate's rise to 4.4% brings it close to a four-year high. Job losses were concentrated in several key sectors. Health care saw a decline of 28,000 jobs, partly due to strike activity, while manufacturing lost 12,000 positions. The information, transportation and warehousing, and federal government sectors each shed roughly 10,000 to 11,000 jobs. In response to the market volatility, investors are shifting their capital. High-growth technology stocks like NVIDIA have seen selling pressure, while consumer discretionary companies are also underperforming as worries about consumer spending grow. This "flight-to-safety" has benefited defensive sectors. Utility stocks such as NRG Energy and NextEra Energy have shown strong performance. Similarly, major energy companies like Chevron and ConocoPhillips are outperforming as oil prices surge. This rotation highlights a clear move towards more stable, value-oriented investments.

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