France Quick‑Commerce Forecast
- A databook projects France's quick‑commerce market could exceed $18.5 billion by 2029, led by hybrid store‑platform models. - Carrefour, Casino Group and Monoprix are cited as the leading hybrid players in the forecast. - The report argues incumbents will combine physical store networks with platform logistics rather than cede the market to pure apps (globenewswire.com).
France’s rapid grocery-delivery market is being recast around supermarket chains, not stand-alone apps, with one new databook projecting the sector will reach $18.51 billion by 2029. (researchandmarkets.com) The forecast says France’s quick-commerce market grew from $8.91 billion in 2020 to $12.21 billion in 2024, and pegs 2025 at $13.30 billion before the 2029 estimate. It names Carrefour, Casino Group and Monoprix as the leading “hybrid” players. (researchandmarkets.com) Quick commerce means ordering groceries or household items on an app for delivery in under an hour, often in 15 to 30 minutes. In France, the report says that model is moving away from dedicated “dark stores” and toward orders picked from existing supermarkets and convenience stores. (researchandmarkets.com) Carrefour’s tie-up with Uber Eats shows the playbook. Carrefour said its express service offered 6,000 products from 1,200 stores in more than 200 French towns and cities, while its “Carrefour Sprint” service promised delivery in under 15 minutes in more than a dozen major cities. (carrefour.com) Casino Group built a similar model through Franprix, Monop’ and other banners. In April 2021, Casino and Uber Eats said they planned grocery delivery in under 30 minutes from nearly 500 stores by the following autumn, and Casino separately renewed a two-year deal with Deliveroo covering its food retail brands. (groupe-casino.fr, groupe-casino.fr) Monoprix expanded the same approach nationwide. The chain said in 2021 that nearly 200 Monoprix and Monop’ stores were available on Uber Eats for delivery in under 30 minutes, and in February 2025 it added Monop’ Beauty with about 1,000 products delivered in an average of under 30 minutes. (business.ladn.eu, entreprise.monoprix.fr) That shift follows a wipeout among many pure-play fast-delivery operators. Getir and Gorillas were liquidated in France in July 2023 after Getir had already said it planned to leave the market, and Flink’s French unit ceased operations in April 2024 with 218 job losses. (techcrunch.com, europa.eu, europa.eu) French regulators also narrowed the room for the old dark-store model. The Conseil d’État said in March 2023 that converting shops into dark stores required authorization, and the Economy Ministry had already issued guidance in 2022 to help local officials apply planning rules to quick-commerce sites. (conseil-etat.fr, economie.gouv.fr) The backdrop is a larger French e-commerce market that keeps expanding. The databook says total e-commerce in France reached €175.3 billion in 2024, up 9.6% from a year earlier, giving supermarket groups a bigger digital customer base to feed into faster delivery offers. (researchandmarkets.com) The forecast is still a forecast, not a filing or earnings report. But the direction it describes is already visible in France: chains with dense store networks are using Uber Eats and Deliveroo as the last mile, instead of trying to rebuild grocery retail from scratch. (researchandmarkets.com, carrefour.com, groupe-casino.fr)
