Valuations Rise for Dev Tools and AI Infra
A 2025 top startups list from Infodex shows high valuations for AI infrastructure and developer tool companies. Leaders included AI infrastructure firms Thinking Machines at $12B and Baseten at $5B. The list also featured developer tool company Supabase, a backend-as-a-service platform, with a $5B valuation, underscoring continued investor momentum in the sector.
- Supabase was founded by Paul Copplestone and Ant Wilson, two developers who became frustrated with Firebase's limitations while building a chat application. They found Firebase's NoSQL database restrictive for complex queries and saw an opportunity to create an open-source alternative built on the robust and widely-used PostgreSQL, offering developers more flexibility without vendor lock-in. - The company's early growth was significantly accelerated by a post on Hacker News titled "an open source Firebase alternative," which resonated with the developer community and led to a tenfold increase in their user base overnight. This early traction was a key lesson in product-market fit, demonstrating the strong demand for a developer-centric, open-source backend-as-a-service. This developer-first approach continues, with Supabase's initial marketing and non-technical hires being developers themselves. - A core tenet of Supabase's strategy is a focus on configuration over customization, deliberately turning down large, bespoke enterprise deals to avoid fragmenting their product vision. CEO Paul Copplestone emphasizes that for open-source companies, the community is a key marketing channel that can be lost if the focus shifts too heavily to large enterprise clients. - Baseten was founded by Tuhin Srivastava, Amir Haghighat, and other co-founders who had experienced the challenges of operationalizing machine learning models firsthand at companies like Gumroad and Clover Health. They identified that while training ML models had become easier, deploying, scaling, and managing them in production (a process known as inference) remained a significant bottleneck for many engineering teams. - Baseten's go-to-market strategy focuses on providing a high-touch, "boutique-like" experience for enterprise customers, even embedding engineers to help them get up and running quickly. For early-stage, AI-first startups, Baseten offers a program with platform credits and dedicated support to help them scale. This approach is designed to accelerate the time-to-value for their customers, which CEO Tuhin Srivastava has identified as a key differentiator in the fast-moving AI infrastructure market. - While developers praise Supabase for its ease of use and the power of a full Postgres database, some have raised concerns on platforms like Hacker News and Reddit about the developer experience for more complex applications. Criticisms include a challenging local development and database migration workflow, and the maintainability of putting too much application logic directly into the database via row-level security. - The original Thinking Machines, founded in 1983 by Danny Hillis, was a pioneer in parallel computing for AI, but ultimately failed. Hillis has since reflected that a key failure was not giving the financial sustainability of the company the same serious thought as the technical challenges of building the machines. - For founders in Bangalore, the choice between bootstrapping and venture capital is a key consideration. Bootstrapped Indian startups like Zoho and Zerodha have found massive success by focusing on profitability and product quality over chasing valuations. This approach forces a strong customer-centric mindset and operational discipline from the start. However, venture capital can provide the necessary fuel for rapid scaling to compete in the global market.