Nvidia beats guidance, stock falls
- Nvidia on May 20 reported record first-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue of $81.6 billion and forecast $91 billion for the current quarter. - Data center revenue reached $75.2 billion, up 92% year over year, while Nvidia's stock still fell after results despite the beat. - Nvidia's next formal checkpoint is second-quarter fiscal 2027 results, after guidance for $91 billion in revenue.
Nvidia reported record first-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue of $81.6 billion on May 20 and guided to $91 billion for the current quarter, extending the surge in spending on artificial-intelligence infrastructure. The company said data center revenue rose 92% from a year earlier to $75.2 billion, and its first-quarter gross margin held at about 75%. Yet the stock fell after the report, even after Nvidia beat on revenue and outlook, extending a pattern of post-earnings pullbacks that has become more common as expectations climb. ### If Nvidia beat estimates, why did the stock fall? Nvidia shares slipped after the May 20 report even though the company posted record sales and forecast another quarter above Wall Street expectations. CNBC reported that investors had been focused less on whether Nvidia would beat estimates than on how far above consensus it could guide, given the stock's valuation and its central place in the AI trade. (nvidianews.nvidia.com) The market reaction points to a narrower question now facing megacap AI names: not whether demand exists, but whether each quarter still resets forecasts higher enough to justify prior gains. That reading was echoed in coverage of the results noting that Nvidia has now seen multiple straight post-earnings declines despite beats. (nvidianews.nvidia.com) ### What did the quarter show about AI demand? Nvidia said first-quarter revenue rose 85% from a year earlier, with data center revenue of $75.2 billion doing most of the work. The company tied the growth to continued demand for AI infrastructure, and CNBC said the results showed data center revenue nearly doubled from a year earlier. (cnbc.com) Gross margin also remained unusually strong for a company scaling this quickly. Nvidia reported GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins of 74.9% and 75.0%, suggesting it is still converting demand into pricing power and profit rather than buying growth through lower margins. ### Why are people suddenly talking about Nvidia's networking business? (nvidianews.nvidia.com) A separate thread in the reaction to Nvidia's earnings is that investors are paying more attention to the parts of the AI build-out beyond graphics processors. The upstream briefing cited estimates that Nvidia's networking business is now about a $60 billion operation, reflecting the need for high-speed interconnects inside AI data centers as clusters get larger and more power-hungry. (nvidianews.nvidia.com) That matters because AI spending is broadening from chips alone to the full stack around them: networking, power delivery and cooling. Nvidia's own results did not break out a $60 billion networking line in the press release reviewed here, but the earnings narrative around the quarter increasingly centers on the company as a systems supplier, not only a chip vendor. That is an inference from the surrounding coverage and the scale of data-center buildouts. (nvidianews.nvidia.com) ### Why did Navitas jump if Nvidia fell? Navitas Semiconductor shares rose 19.98% to $29.25 on May 22, according to IBTimes Australia, as investors chased companies tied to AI infrastructure power demand. The move came even though Navitas had reported a first-quarter GAAP net loss of $33.8 million, showing that the market is still willing to reward smaller suppliers seen as leveraged to AI build-outs. (nvidianews.nvidia.com) Navitas said first-quarter revenue was $8.6 million and that higher contributions from AI data centers and other high-power markets helped sequential growth. Analysts also raised price targets in May, according to the report, adding another catalyst to the rally. ### Why does this look different from AI in cars? (ibtimes.com.au) Automakers are finding that AI features do not automatically turn into profits. SBD Automotive said, in reporting carried by AOL and Automotive News, that fewer than 20% of AI features in cars are profitable, with ongoing cloud costs eroding returns. Andy Qiu, a senior manager at SBD Automotive, said the issue is "not a technology problem" but "a P&L problem," because every interaction with a cloud-based AI feature creates continuing operating expense. (ibtimes.com.au) That contrast helps explain why markets are still rewarding companies tied to AI infrastructure more readily than companies trying to monetize AI applications in mature industries such as autos. (aol.com) ### What comes next after this quarter? Nvidia said it expects second-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue of $91 billion. That next report will show whether demand for AI compute, networking and related infrastructure is still accelerating fast enough to keep outrunning the expectations now embedded in the stock. (nvidianews.nvidia.com) (aol.com)