Lebanon Bans Hezbollah's Military
In a stunning move, Lebanon's Prime Minister Nawaf Salam has banned all military and security activities by Hezbollah. The announcement came just hours after the Iran-allied group launched attacks on Israel, signaling Beirut's desperate attempt to avoid being pulled deeper into the escalating regional war. The effectiveness of the ban against the powerful, entrenched group remains a major question.
Hezbollah, a Shiite Islamist movement, was established in the early 1980s with Iranian backing in response to the Israeli invasion of Lebanon. It has since evolved into a formidable political and military force, operating a sophisticated military wing that is widely considered more powerful than the Lebanese state's own army. Estimates of its strength claim as many as 100,000 trained fighters and a vast arsenal of rockets. The call for Hezbollah's disarmament is not new. United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701, which ended the 2006 war between Israel and Hezbollah, called for the disarmament of all armed groups in Lebanon and for the area south of the Litani River to be free of any armed personnel other than the Lebanese army and UN peacekeepers. However, this resolution has never been fully implemented. Previous attempts by the Lebanese state to curb Hezbollah's power have been met with resistance. In 2008, when the government moved to dismantle the group's private telecommunications network, Hezbollah responded by taking over parts of Beirut, demonstrating its military dominance and the weakness of the state's authority. This history underscores the significant challenge the government faces in enforcing the new ban. The group is deeply embedded in Lebanon's sectarian political system. The "Loyalty to the Resistance Bloc" is Hezbollah's political wing, and it forms coalitions and holds seats in parliament and cabinet positions, giving it a direct say in the governance of the country it also challenges with its independent military force. This hybrid role as both a state and non-state actor complicates any effort to disarm it. Financially and militarily, Hezbollah is primarily supported by Iran. This backing has allowed it to build its powerful arsenal and to intervene in regional conflicts, most notably the Syrian Civil War, where it fought in support of the Assad government. The government's order instructs the Lebanese army to enforce a plan to restrict weapons to state control. However, the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) are significantly outmatched by Hezbollah in terms of weaponry, training, and combat experience. The success of the ban will heavily depend on the LAF's willingness and capability to confront a force that has for decades operated as a state within a state.