Q1 growth and investment
Domestic reports suggest Indonesia’s economy stayed above 5% growth in Q1, with Bank Indonesia signalling around 5.2% and one estimate at 5.54%. The government says realised investment for the quarter reached about Rp497 trillion, a figure that supports ongoing industrial and construction activity. (money.kompas.com) (memorandum.disway.id) (antaranews.com)
Indonesia signaled first-quarter growth stayed above 5 percent, with Bank Indonesia pointing to about 5.2 percent and the government projecting at least 5.5 percent. (money.kompas.com) (antaranews.com) Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo said first-quarter growth was “around 5.2 percent” after the central bank’s March policy meeting, while Coordinating Economic Affairs Minister Airlangga Hartarto said on April 10 that growth should be at least 5.5 percent. (money.kompas.com) (antaranews.com) Investment Minister Rosan Roeslani said realized investment in January through March was expected to reach about Rp497 trillion, up roughly 7 percent from a year earlier. He said that pace was in line with the government’s annual target. (antaranews.com) (money.kompas.com) Rosan told lawmakers that the quarter’s investment would equal 24.3 percent of Indonesia’s 2026 national target and support about 627,000 jobs, up 5.5 percent from the same period last year. (money.kompas.com) (antaranews.com) The numbers matter because Indonesia started 2025 below the 5 percent mark. Statistics Indonesia said gross domestic product grew 4.87 percent year on year in the first quarter of 2025. (bps.go.id) By the second quarter of 2025, growth had returned to 5.08 percent year on year, leaving the 2026 first-quarter estimates as a test of whether that rebound held into the new year. (bps.go.id) Officials tied the stronger 2026 outlook to domestic demand and investment. Airlangga cited resilient household spending despite Middle East conflict risks and broader global uncertainty. (antaranews.com) Rosan said Rp150.1 trillion, or 30.2 percent of first-quarter investment, came from downstream processing projects, with large flows also going to basic metals, transport and telecommunications, and mining. (money.kompas.com) (brief.id) The official gross domestic product report for the first quarter has not been released yet, so the figures on April 13 were still signals from the central bank, ministers, and domestic media reports. The next test is whether Statistics Indonesia’s release matches the optimism. (money.kompas.com) (antaranews.com)
