Ethereum Foundation Lays Out 'Strawmap' to 2029
The Ethereum Foundation has released "Strawmap," a long-term roadmap extending to 2029. The ambitious plan targets 10,000 TPS on L1 via zkEVMs, 10 million TPS on L2s, post-quantum security, and private transfers on the mainnet, outlining a multi-year vision for scaling and security.
The "Strawmap" is structured around seven planned hard forks through 2029, occurring at a rough six-month cadence to introduce focused and less risky upgrades. Early confirmed forks for 2026, named "Glamsterdam" and "Hegota," will target enhanced gas efficiency, censorship resistance, and improved user experience by building on previous blob enhancements for Layer-2s. This regular upgrade cycle provides a clearer execution timeline for developers and investors, a significant shift from Ethereum's historically less predictable upgrade schedule. A core objective is to drastically reduce transaction finality from the current average of around 16 minutes to as low as 6-16 seconds. This will be pursued by gradually cutting block slot times from 12 seconds towards a goal of 2 seconds and implementing a new finality algorithm known as Minimmit. For high-frequency trading and institutional use cases, slashing finality from minutes to seconds is a critical step to compete with traditional financial rails and faster Layer-1 alternatives. The plan's approach to post-quantum security focuses on implementing hash-based cryptography, a move designed to protect the network from future threats posed by quantum computers. While this transition presents challenges, such as significantly larger signature sizes that could increase gas costs, it's deemed a necessary, long-term security measure to safeguard high-value assets. This proactive stance on quantum threats is intended to differentiate Ethereum as a secure settlement layer, potentially attracting more institutional capital concerned with long-term asset durability. Native privacy through shielded ETH transfers is another key pillar, addressing a major hurdle for enterprise adoption. This would allow businesses to conduct confidential transactions directly on the mainnet without relying on external privacy solutions, a crucial feature for use cases involving sensitive financial data. The introduction of first-class privacy could unlock new DeFi applications and attract users who are currently deterred by the public nature of blockchain transactions. This roadmap has reshaped Ethereum's investment thesis from a speculative asset to a yield-generating one, attractive to institutional investors. With roughly one-third of all ETH already staked and the growth of liquid staking protocols, the "Strawmap" provides a long-term vision that supports ETH's role as a foundational asset for DeFi and tokenization. Analysts suggest that successful execution of this roadmap could be a catalyst for significant price appreciation, with some models forecasting ETH reaching $10,000 by 2029. The "Strawmap" signals a strategic pivot where the Layer-1 base layer will shoulder more of the scaling burden, moving beyond a sole reliance on Layer-2 solutions. While L2s are still central to the scaling vision, the goal is for the L1 to comfortably handle 10,000 TPS to prevent it from becoming a bottleneck as L2s scale towards millions of TPS. This dual-track approach aims to create a more robust and efficient network, capable of supporting a global-scale digital economy.