StartupHub.ai shows AI IPO bets

StartupHub.ai said Monday that prediction markets are leaning toward OpenAI or Anthropic going public before 2040. (startuphub.ai) The site’s April 27 post framed the question as a market signal about when major artificial intelligence companies might finally offer public shares. (startuphub.ai) A related StartupHub.ai roundup published April 25 said traders were not just betting on an eventual listing, but on which company gets there first. It said Anthropic was favored over OpenAI by about 70%, with roughly $61,700 wagered on that market. (startuphub.ai) Another StartupHub.ai post from April 19 put Anthropic’s lead even higher, at 75%, and said combined volume across active related markets had reached $19.2 million. (startuphub.ai 1) (startuphub.ai 2) Prediction markets work like public odds boards: traders buy contracts tied to a future event, and prices move as expectations change. In this case, the contracts are being treated as a rough read on whether private AI companies can find a public-market exit. (startuphub.ai) That question has become more concrete because both companies have been pulled into IPO reporting in recent weeks. CNBC reported on April 15 that OpenAI and Anthropic were among the artificial intelligence startups investors expect to go public, even as public opinion around AI and data centers has soured. (cnbc.com) OpenAI’s timeline looks contested. Reports citing The Information said Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar raised concerns about Chief Executive Sam Altman’s push for a late-2026 listing and the company’s heavy spending plans. (economictimes.indiatimes.com) (financialexpress.com) CNBC also reported on March 22 that OpenAI’s infrastructure commitments and data-center strategy were feeding Wall Street concerns ahead of any offering. That puts cost discipline, not just revenue growth, at the center of the IPO debate. (cnbc.com) Anthropic has its own clock. Forge Global said last week that the company had been linked in prior reporting to IPO preparations that could lead to a 2026 debut, though it noted there is still no public registration statement. (forgeglobal.com) So the StartupHub.ai data is less a forecast of a filing date than a snapshot of investor appetite. Traders are signaling that the path from private AI hype to a listed stock still looks plausible — and that, for now, Anthropic may be seen as the likelier first mover. (startuphub.ai 1) (startuphub.ai 2)