Premier League roundup
This weekend West Ham beat Wolves 4-0, Bournemouth upset Arsenal 2-1, Liverpool won 2-0 at Fulham, Man City beat Chelsea 3-0, and Crystal Palace edged Newcastle 2-1. (x.com) The same roundup included an upcoming Manchester United vs Leeds match where United were modeled at about a 62% win probability. (x.com)
West Ham’s 4-0 win over Wolves on Friday opened a weekend that tightened the Premier League’s title race, European chase and relegation fight all at once. (premierleague.com) That result at London Stadium on April 10 lifted West Ham out of the bottom three and left Wolves 15 points from safety after Matchweek 32. Konstantinos Mavropanos scored twice, Taty Castellanos added two more, and Tottenham dropped into 18th before losing 1-0 at Sunderland on Sunday. (skysports.com) (premierleague.com) At the top, Arsenal’s 2-1 home defeat to Bournemouth on Saturday and Manchester City’s 2-0 win at Chelsea on Sunday cut the gap between first and second to six points. The Premier League said City also have a game in hand before the two clubs meet at the Etihad Stadium on Sunday, April 19. (premierleague.com) Liverpool’s 2-0 win over Fulham on Saturday kept them fifth on 49 points after 31 matches, one point ahead of Chelsea and three ahead of Brentford and Everton. Sky Sports said Rio Ngumoha, aged 17 years and 225 days, became Liverpool’s youngest Premier League goalscorer at Anfield before Mohamed Salah added the second. (premierleague.com) (skysports.com) That cluster matters because England is set to receive a fifth UEFA Champions League place for 2026-27, so the fight for fifth now reaches deeper into the table. The Premier League said nine teams from Liverpool in fifth to Bournemouth in 13th were separated by seven points before this round. (premierleague.com 1) (premierleague.com 2) The bottom end is just as compressed. The Premier League said Leeds and Nottingham Forest were on 33 points, three clear of the bottom three, with Leeds still holding a game in hand before their Monday, April 13 trip to Manchester United. (premierleague.com) That made Manchester United against Leeds more than a rivalry game. Manchester United started the week third on 55 points, seven clear of sixth-placed Chelsea, while Leeds were trying to stay above the relegation line with six league matches left after Monday. (premierleague.com 1) (premierleague.com 2) Opta’s match-prediction model made United the favorite at Old Trafford, though the published quick-hit summary did not list a percentage for that game in the excerpt available. Opta said its supercomputer generates match probabilities from betting market odds and Opta Power Rankings, then simulates the remaining season thousands of times. (theanalyst.com 1) (theanalyst.com 2) With seven matchweeks left at the start of “The Run In,” this round reshaped all three races in one weekend: Arsenal and City before April 19, Liverpool and Chelsea around fifth, and Leeds, West Ham and Tottenham around the line. (premierleague.com) (premierleague.com) (premierleague.com)