China’s measured response

China publicly urged restraint, saying a Hormuz blockade would run against international interests while sticking to diplomatic language rather than threatening direct naval confrontation. (reuters.com) Analysts note Beijing retains potent economic levers — notably rare earths and other strategic materials — that it could use as non‑military pressure in response to the crisis. ( )

China answered the Strait of Hormuz crisis on April 13 with a warning against escalation, not a threat of force. Beijing said any blockade would run against international interests and called for talks. (usnews.com) The statement came from Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun in Beijing after the United States moved toward enforcing a naval embargo on ships entering Iranian ports. Bloomberg reported China did not name Washington directly and instead pointed to the war itself as the “root cause” of the crisis. (usnews.com) (bloomberg.com) Beijing has used the same formula for weeks: oppose military escalation, demand safe passage for commercial shipping, and push negotiations. In a March 31 joint initiative with Pakistan, China called the strait an important route for global goods and energy and urged the early and safe passage of civilian and commercial ships. (mfa.gov.cn) That language reflects China’s exposure to the waterway. The U.S. Energy Information Administration said flows through Hormuz in 2024 and early 2025 accounted for more than one-quarter of global seaborne oil trade, about one-fifth of global petroleum liquids consumption, and about one-fifth of global liquefied natural gas trade. (eia.gov 1) (eia.gov 2) China’s leverage sits less in warships than in supply chains. The International Energy Agency said rare earth supply remains highly concentrated, and China’s share of rare earth magnet production in 2024 was dominant enough that disruptions can ripple through energy, transport, electronics, and defense manufacturing. (iea.org 1) (iea.org 2) The United States Geological Survey said China tightened export controls on several rare earth elements in April 2025, expanded them in October, and in November added some technologies for making rare earth magnets. Those steps matter because magnets made with neodymium, dysprosium, and terbium are used in missiles, electric motors, wind turbines, and advanced electronics. (pubs.usgs.gov) (usgs.gov) Analysts in Washington have been treating those controls as a strategic tool, not just a trade rule. The Center for Strategic and International Studies said China’s restrictions on rare earth elements and magnets showed how Beijing can turn mineral dominance into pressure on foreign governments and manufacturers. (csis.org 1) (csis.org 2) China’s public line, though, has stayed diplomatic. On April 7, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning said prolonging or escalating the conflict served no party’s interest and called on all sides to help de-escalate and facilitate peace talks. (mfa.gov.cn) Washington has framed the issue differently. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on March 29 that any Iranian tolling system in Hormuz would be “illegal” and that countries with a stake in the route should help ensure no state controls or tolls the waterway. (state.gov) So China’s message on April 13 was narrow and deliberate: keep the shipping lane open, stop the fighting, and leave Beijing room to answer pressure with trade tools instead of a naval showdown. (usnews.com) (iea.org)

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