NVIDIA says China market could reopen

- Jensen Huang said on May 18 that he expects China’s market to reopen over time to U.S. AI chip suppliers after Trump’s trip. - Huang called a total U.S. ban on AI chip exports to China “completely ridiculous” and said Nvidia still lacks a China breakthrough. - Blackwell and Rubin remain restricted, while H200 sales still require approvals from both U.S. and Chinese authorities.

Jensen Huang said on May 18 that he believes China will eventually reopen to U.S. AI chip suppliers, extending Nvidia’s public argument that Washington’s export curbs should not become a permanent wall. Huang made the remarks after traveling with President Donald Trump to China the previous week and after talks between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping produced no immediate breakthrough for Nvidia’s sales there. Reuters reported that Nvidia has U.S. licenses to sell H200 chips into China but still lacks approval from Chinese authorities. ### What exactly did Huang say in public? Bloomberg reported that Huang said Chinese authorities would eventually allow imports of U.S. artificial intelligence chips and told Bloomberg Television, “My sense is that over time the market will open.” He said the Chinese government would have to decide how much of its domestic market it wanted to protect. Reuters separately reported the same interview and tied the comments to Huang’s trip with Trump to Beijing last week. (money.usnews.com) The Economic Times reported that Huang also called a total ban on AI-chip exports to China “completely ridiculous,” arguing that blocking U.S. suppliers would push Chinese companies to build alternatives faster. That line fits a message Huang has repeated in recent months: that export controls can cost Nvidia market share while accelerating Chinese substitution. (bloomberg.com) ### Why is China still closed to Nvidia’s newest chips? Reuters reported on May 18 that Nvidia has received licenses from the U.S. government to sell H200 chips, but those shipments have not moved because Chinese officials have not approved them. Reuters said Trump’s talks with Xi produced no immediate breakthrough for H200 sales. (economictimes.indiatimes.com) Blackwell and Rubin are in a different category. Recent reports say Nvidia’s most advanced generations remain outside what Washington is prepared to allow into China under current export controls, even as the company argues for broader market access over time. Bloomberg’s account of Huang’s comments framed his optimism around eventual reopening, not around any immediate change for Nvidia’s top-end products. (money.usnews.com) ### Why does Nvidia keep pressing this case? Nvidia’s position is tied to the size of China’s AI market and to the risk that Chinese customers shift permanently to domestic suppliers if U.S. products stay unavailable. Huang’s public comments have focused on competition rather than isolation, saying U.S. companies should keep selling where rules permit rather than ceding the market outright. The Economic Times report said Huang argued that China could still advance with existing resources and older chips even without access to the very newest U.S. hardware. (bloomberg.com) Reuters’ May 18 report showed the practical problem for Nvidia: even when U.S. licenses are available for an approved product like H200, the company still faces a second gate in China. That leaves Nvidia caught between Washington’s export regime and Beijing’s industrial policy. (economictimes.indiatimes.com) ### If the controls are in place, how are banned chips still reaching China? TechRepublic reported on May 19 that restricted Nvidia chips and other controlled technology continue to reach China and Russia through alleged diversion networks involving shell companies, intermediaries and encrypted communications. The report said recent U.S. export-control cases described brokers moving restricted hardware through third countries despite the crackdown. (money.usnews.com) Those reports matter because they undercut the idea that formal bans fully determine where advanced compute ends up. Huang’s comments addressed legal market access, but the parallel reporting on smuggling shows that demand for Nvidia hardware inside China has not disappeared. ### What happens next for Nvidia’s China business? (techrepublic.com) The next concrete milestone is H200. Reuters reported that Nvidia already has U.S. licenses for that chip, leaving Chinese regulatory approval as the immediate hurdle after the May 14 Trump-Xi meetings in Beijing failed to produce a breakthrough. Blackwell and Rubin remain outside the near-term opening Huang described. (money.usnews.com) (techrepublic.com)

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