Betting markets push Knicks to heavy favoritism to reach NBA Finals
- New York’s Game 3 win over Philadelphia pushed the Knicks to a 3-0 series lead, and betting markets now treat them as the East favorite. - DraftKings-listed conference odds moved to Knicks -140 on May 9, after they opened Round 2 as just -260 favorites over Philadelphia. - That is a sharp rerating in five days — from likely semifinal winner to the market’s most likely Eastern champion.
The Knicks are not just up on the 76ers anymore. They have crossed into a different category — the team sportsbooks now see as the favorite to come out of the East. That changed fast. Five days ago, New York was a solid second-round favorite. By Saturday, May 9, the Knicks were sitting at -140 to win the Eastern Conference after going up 3-0 on Philadelphia. ### What changed so quickly? Game 3 is what flipped the tone. New York beat Philadelphia 108-94 on May 8, taking a 3-0 lead in the conference semifinals. Jalen Brunson scored 33, and the Knicks moved one win from a second straight trip to the East finals. That kind of lead matters because 3-0 is basically the series-ending score before the series officially ends. (basketball.realgm.com) ### What were the odds before this? Before Round 2 started, the Knicks were -260 to beat the 76ers. That implied about a 72% chance to reach the Eastern Conference finals — strong, but not overwhelming. The East itself still looked open then. Detroit was a slight favorite over Cleveland, and New York was being priced more like one contender in a crowded field than the clear team to beat. (nba.com) ### Where are the odds now? By May 9, ESPN’s DraftKings futures page had the Knicks at -140 to win the East. Detroit was next at +170, while Cleveland had drifted to +900 and Philadelphia to +7000. That is the key move here. Minus odds to win the conference means the market has stopped treating New York as a nice story and started treating it as the most likely Eastern champion. (basketball.realgm.com) ### Is this only about the East? Not quite. The Knicks also shortened in title markets. Covers listed them at +700 to win the NBA championship on Saturday morning, improved from +800 after Friday’s win. They still trail Oklahoma City and San Antonio in most overall title pricing, so the market is not calling them the best team in basketball. But it is saying the path through the East now looks cleaner than it did a week ago. (espn.com) ### Why did the East open up? Because everyone else got shakier while New York got firmer. Philadelphia fell behind 3-0. Cleveland dropped the first two games to Detroit. The Knicks, meanwhile, handled their business even with OG Anunoby ruled out for Game 3 because of a hamstring strain. That matters to bettors — winning while short-handed usually makes a team’s number look more real, not less. (covers.com) ### Are bookmakers saying the Knicks are dominant? Not exactly dominant in the Oklahoma City sense. RealGM’s May 8 snapshot had New York at -1000 to finish off Philadelphia, a 90% implied chance to reach the conference finals. Oklahoma City was even more extreme at -10000 in its series. So the Knicks are not the postseason’s biggest favorite overall. They are the East team whose price has tightened the most into true-favorite territory. (nba.com) ### What should readers watch next? Game 4 is Sunday, May 10, at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC. If the Knicks complete the sweep, the market could move again — not because one more win changes their quality, but because extra rest and one fewer injury-risk game matter in futures pricing. Basically, the number is now reacting to bracket control as much as pure talent. (basketball.realgm.com) ### Bottom line The story is not just that the Knicks are winning. It is that the betting market has reranked them in real time — from second-round favorite to the East’s most likely Finals team in less than a week. (basketball.realgm.com) (nba.com)