Investor Warns on Tax Due Diligence
In a podcast interview, real estate investor Andrew Keel recounted how a deal in Michigan fell apart after discovering property taxes could increase by 700%. He emphasized that such critical risks are often only uncovered through deep, location-specific due diligence.
- In Cook County, commercial properties are reassessed every three years, with the City of Chicago's last reassessment in 2024 and the northern suburbs scheduled for 2025. This cyclical nature means investors must proactively investigate a property's position in the assessment cycle to forecast potential tax liability changes. - Chicago's multifamily market remains tight, with a vacancy rate of 4.7% in late 2025, significantly below the national average. Rent growth is projected to be around 3% in 2026, driven by a persistent shortage of new construction, making it an attractive sector for investors. - Average multifamily capitalization rates in Chicago were around 6.7% in the third quarter of 2025, offering a notable premium over the national average of 4.9%. For investors, this spread can translate to higher initial returns, though it also reflects perceived risks such as property tax uncertainty. - Recent shifts in property tax burdens have seen homeowners, particularly on the South and West sides, absorb a larger share due to declining downtown commercial property values. This dynamic underscores the importance of neighborhood-level analysis, as tax liabilities can vary significantly across different areas of the city. - For those looking to enter the real estate investment field, firms highly value analytical and financial modeling skills, particularly proficiency in Excel and software like Argus and CoStar. Gaining experience through internships or roles in corporate development or finance can provide a pathway into private equity, even without a traditional investment banking background. - To stay informed, aspiring investors in the Midwest can follow publications and podcasts such as the "Straight Up Chicago Investor Podcast" and Gray Capital's "2026 Midwest Multifamily Forecast." These resources provide localized market commentary and insights from active regional professionals. - Several prominent real estate investment firms are headquartered in Chicago, including GEM Realty Capital, Walton Street Capital, and Essex Realty Group, each with different focuses across private and public markets or specific property types like multifamily. Researching these firms can provide insight into institutional investment strategies. - The Property Tax Extension Limitation Law (PTELL) in Illinois limits the increase in tax extensions for a taxing district, but it does not cap individual assessment increases or tax bills. This means that even with the law in place, an individual property's taxes can still rise substantially based on its reassessed value.