Hamilton missed payments spike 425%

Missed mortgage payments in Hamilton have surged 425% since 2022, according to CMHC data cited on social channels—signaling concentrated borrower stress in parts of Ontario reported. The jump points to localized affordability pressure despite broader market divergence.

The viral X post linking to CMHC’s CMA mortgage-delinquency tables traces its calculation to CMHC’s published CMA dataset for mortgages (90+ days arrears) [CMHC data]. x.com CMHC’s mortgage industry reporting shows Ontario’s delinquency rate climbed to 0.23% in Q2 2025 and flagged outsized, localized increases in Toronto and select CMAs as drivers of the provincial rise. [CMHC RMIR]. cmhc-schl.gc.ca Local market metrics in the Hamilton–Burlington area reported by the Cornerstone/RAHB data release recorded 831 sales in June 2025 and a year‑to‑date sales shortfall near 20%, alongside inventory increases of roughly 23% year‑over‑year that have widened affordability pressure in lower‑price cohorts. [Cornerstone/RAHB market stats]. myemail.constantcontact.com The stress signal aligns with monetary-history: the Bank of Canada raised its policy rate to 5.00% by July 12, 2023 [BoC decision] and began cutting on June 5, 2024 to 4.75% [BoC cut], while CMHC has warned a wave of mortgage renewals (over 750,000 in H2 and ~1.15M thereafter in its industry monitoring) is concentrating payment shock for borrowers in certain Ontario CMAs. [BoC July 12, 2023] [BoC June 5, 2024] [CMHC renewals]. bankofcanada.ca

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