Trump predicts $2–3/gallon gas

Donald Trump said on September 7 that gasoline prices would fall to $3 a gallon and eventually below $2 if the United States “WIN[s] the war with Iran.” The prediction appeared in a Truth Social post at 7:16 p.m., where Trump tied lower fuel prices to a military outcome and added that “Iran will never have a Nuclear Weapon.” The post was then recirculated on X by accounts including Middle East Observer. AAA’s national average for regular gasoline was $4.1505 a gallon as of September 7. ### What exactly did Trump post? Trump wrote on Truth Social on September 7: “Oil prices will drop precipitously, like everything else is dropping (but more!), when we WIN the war with Iran.” In the same post, he added: “Three Dollars a gallon, but ultimately, below Two Dollars a gallon. It will all happen quickly.” The wording matters because Trump referred first to oil prices and then to gasoline prices in per-gallon terms. The post did not include a timeline beyond saying the change would happen “quickly,” and it did not set out a policy mechanism for how retail gasoline would reach those levels. ### Where did the claim appear, and how did it spread? Truth Social carried the original post on Trump’s account on the evening of September 7. (trumpstruth.org) A separate X post from the account ME_Observer_ circulated a screenshot and caption referencing Trump’s prediction that gas would fall to the $2-$3 range after a U.S. victory over Iran. The social-media circulation followed a broader pattern in which Trump has used posts about gasoline prices as a political message. (trumpstruth.org) Search results also show coverage of earlier 2026 posts in which Trump called for gasoline around $2.50 a gallon. ### How far is that from current U.S. gas prices? AAA listed the U.S. national average for regular gasoline at $4.1505 a gallon on September 7. (trumpstruth.org) That means Trump’s intermediate $3 target was about $1.15 below the national average, while his “below Two Dollars” target was more than $2 lower. The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s weekly series showed regular gasoline at $4.071 a gallon for the week ending August 31, with the next update due September 8. (yahoo.com) The federal data and AAA’s daily reading both place national gasoline prices above $4, not in the $2-$3 range Trump described. ### What is happening in oil markets now? (gasprices.aaa.com) Brent crude was at $97.58 a barrel on September 8, according to BrentWatch. Reuters reporting carried by other outlets said Brent had risen this month but remained below $100 even as the U.S.-Iran conflict disrupted exports through the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea. Al Jazeera, citing Reuters, reported on September 7 that strikes between the United States and Iran had pushed oil prices to nearly a six-week high. (eia.gov) That direction in crude markets is the opposite of the immediate drop Trump forecast in his post. ### Has Trump made similar gasoline-price claims before? (brentwatch.com) Trump made a separate demand on June 29 for gas retailers to cut prices to about $2.50 a gallon, according to multiple reports summarizing another Truth Social post. FactCheck.org wrote in May 2025 that Trump had previously made false claims about $2 gasoline, noting the national average was still above $3 and no state average was below $2.60 at that time. (aljazeera.com) Those earlier episodes show that the September 7 post fits into an existing line of argument from Trump on pump prices. This time, though, he explicitly linked the forecast to a U.S. victory over Iran. ### What comes next? The Energy Information Administration’s next weekly gasoline-price release was scheduled for September 8, and AAA continues to publish daily national averages. (cryptobriefing.com) Trump’s September 7 Truth Social post remained available on September 8, providing the primary record of the claim and its wording. (eia.gov) (trumpstruth.org)