Poll Shows Leaders In Three NYC Democratic Primaries

PIX11 News, Emerson College Polling and The Hill released new surveys on May 21 that sketched out the early shape of three closely watched New York City Democratic congressional primaries. The polling covered New York’s 7th, 10th and 12th Congressional Districts, all seats where the June 23 primary is likely to be decisive in the general election. The results showed one race with a clear leader and two others still split by crowded fields and large blocs of undecided voters. The surveys also landed as campaigns enter the final month before voting begins. ### Which race looks the most settled right now? Brad Lander led Rep. Dan Goldman by 34 points in the poll of New York’s 10th District, with Lander at 57% and Goldman at 23%. Another 20% of likely Democratic primary voters were undecided, according to Emerson College’s release. PIX11 described Lander as holding a strong early lead in the district, which covers lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn. (pix11.com) The Hill and PIX11 both reported that Lander is backed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani. Goldman is seeking a third term in the House. The survey made the 10th District the clearest of the three contests tested. ### Why are the Manhattan numbers getting so much attention? Micah Lasher led the New York’s 12th District poll at 22%, with Alex Bores close behind at 20%. (emersoncollegepolling.com) Jack Schlossberg was at 11% and George Conway was at 10%, according to PIX11’s report on the survey. PIX11 said the results suggested Lasher and Bores were beginning to separate from the larger field, though the race remained crowded. (pix11.com) Jerry Nadler’s retirement turned the 12th District into an open-seat contest in Manhattan covering Midtown, the Upper West Side and the Upper East Side, according to City & State. City & State listed Bores, Lasher, Schlossberg, Conway, Nina Schwalbe and several others in the field and described the race as one of the city’s hottest primaries this year. (pix11.com) ### How close is the Brooklyn-Queens contest in NY-7? Claire Valdez led the New York’s 7th District survey with 23%, while Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso had 21% and City Council Member Julie Won had 13%. The largest single number in that race was the undecided vote: 43%, according to PIX11’s reporting on the Emerson survey. (cityandstateny.com) Nydia Velázquez is not running again in the 7th District, and Ballotpedia lists Valdez, Reynoso, Won and Vichal Kumar in the Democratic primary. PIX11 said the race remained a battle for undecided voters, with no candidate yet breaking away. ### What do these polls say — and what do they not say? (aol.com) Emerson College said the surveys measured likely Democratic primary voters in the three districts. The polling offers a snapshot of voter preferences a little more than a month before Election Day, but the NY-7 and NY-12 numbers also show fragmented fields and substantial room for movement. In NY-7, 43% were undecided; in NY-10, 20% were undecided. (ballotpedia.org) PIX11 said it plans to host debates in the three congressional races before June 23. Those events will give candidates another chance to reach voters in contests where the polling suggests many Democrats have not yet made up their minds. ### What happens next before voters cast ballots? June 23, 2026, is New York’s Democratic primary date, according to the New York City Board of Elections. (emersoncollegepolling.com) The board’s candidate page lists contests for that election, and the congressional primaries in the 7th, 10th and 12th districts will unfold over the final month of campaigning, debates, endorsements and voter outreach. (vote.nyc) (pix11.com)