Europe flight disruption risk

IATA warned that flights in Europe could start being canceled from the end of May because of a jet‑fuel shortage, and a report logged 1,559 cancellations and 2,981 delays on April 17 across Spain, Germany, Poland and the UK ( ). London Underground drivers in the RMT union are also set for two separate 24‑hour strikes next week, which could complicate airport access (travelandtourworld.com).

Europe’s summer flight schedule is starting to look fragile, with the airline industry warning that jet-fuel shortages could force cancellations from the end of May. (iata.org) The International Air Transport Association said on April 17 that Europe could begin seeing flights canceled “by the end of May” for lack of jet fuel, and director general Willie Walsh said the problem is already hitting parts of Asia. (iata.org) The warning came after the International Energy Agency said Europe had “maybe six weeks or so” of jet fuel left if oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz do not resume, tying the aviation risk directly to the wider Middle East supply shock. (euronews.com) Airlines are asking governments to prepare emergency steps before the late-May window arrives. Reuters reported on April 14 that Airlines for Europe had urged the European Union to consider measures including fuel rationing rules and temporary relief from airport slot requirements. (globalbankingandfinance.com) Brussels is not yet calling it a shortage. The European Commission said on April 14 that there was “no shortage of jet fuel in the European Union at the moment,” while adding that supply problems could still emerge and remained a “top concern.” (globalbankingandfinance.com) The disruption is already visible in day-to-day operations. A travel industry report said 1,559 flights were canceled and 2,981 delayed on April 17 across Spain, Germany, Poland and the United Kingdom, affecting airports including Barcelona, Dusseldorf and Hamburg and carriers including easyJet, Lufthansa, KLM and airBaltic. (travelandtourworld.com) For passengers, the fuel risk is colliding with separate transport problems on the ground in London. Transport for London said Rail, Maritime and Transport union drivers plan 24-hour London Underground strikes starting at midday on April 21 and again at midday on April 23, with disruption likely to continue into the afternoons and evenings. (tfl.gov.uk) That matters for airport access because the Piccadilly line serves Heathrow terminals directly, while other Tube and rail links feed routes to Heathrow, Gatwick and central London stations used by air passengers. Transport for London said it would run as many services as possible, while warning customers to check conditions before they travel. (tfl.gov.uk) The next marker is late May. If fuel shipments stabilize, Europe may avoid broad cancellations; if they do not, airlines, airports and passengers are heading into the busiest booking season with less room to absorb another shock. (iata.org)

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