China sends Liaoning into western Pacific

- China’s PLA Navy said on May 19 it sent the Liaoning carrier group into western Pacific waters for annual live-fire training. - Taiwan Premier Cho Jung-tai said China was the region’s “greatest source of instability” as Taipei reported more Chinese military activity nearby. - Taiwan’s military plans new drone squadrons in Taitung and Hualien, while Manila watches any Taiwan contingency more closely.

China’s PLA Navy said on May 19 that the aircraft carrier *Liaoning* and its escorts had entered western Pacific waters for training that would include long-range tactical flights, live-fire drills, support operations and rescue exercises. Beijing described the deployment as part of its annual training plan and said it was meant to test and improve combat readiness. Taiwan responded the same day with a public political warning and fresh military adjustments of its own. Premier Cho Jung-tai said China’s ongoing military activity had made it the biggest source of regional unease and instability, while Taiwan’s armed forces moved ahead with plans to establish drone units on the island’s east coast. (chosun.com) The deployment also drew attention beyond Taiwan. Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. said his country would likely be involved in any conflict over Taiwan because of geography and the number of Filipinos living and working there. ### What exactly did China say the Liaoning group is doing? (usnews.com) The PLA Navy said the *Liaoning* strike group began operations on May 19 in “western Pacific-related waters,” with drills covering long-range tactical flight, live-fire training, support and cover, and comprehensive rescue. Chinese state-linked and foreign reports both said the navy presented the mission as a routine annual exercise conducted under international law and practice. (news18.com) The *Liaoning* is China’s first aircraft carrier, and its movements in waters east of Taiwan and near Japan are watched closely because they show how often the Chinese navy is operating beyond the first island chain. Reuters, cited by other outlets, said Taiwan’s defence ministry reported Chinese military exercises near the island again as the carrier group moved out. (chosun.com) ### Why did Taiwan answer so quickly? Premier Cho spoke in Taipei on May 19 ahead of the second anniversary of President William Lai’s taking office and used the carrier deployment to restate Taiwan’s broader position on Chinese pressure. Cho said Taiwan wanted peace and dialogue but added that China’s military actions were the main source of instability in the region. (usnews.com) Taiwan’s government has been facing sustained Chinese military pressure, including regular air and naval activity around the island. Beijing claims Taiwan as its own territory and has rejected Taipei’s position that only Taiwan’s people can decide their future. ### What is Taiwan changing on its east coast? (usnews.com) Taiwan News reported on May 19 that the military will establish drone squadrons in the Taitung Area Command and the Hualien Defense Command. The report said the Hualien command would keep armored cavalry companies because of defense requirements linked to Chiashan Air Base, while adding the new drone capability. (usnews.com) Those changes matter because Taiwan’s east coast has traditionally been treated as a rear area compared with the Taiwan Strait side. Recent Taiwanese reporting has pointed to rising concern that a conflict would not remain confined to the island’s western approaches. ### Why are the Philippines now part of this conversation? Marcos said on May 19 that the Philippines would have little choice but to be affected by a Taiwan conflict because Taiwan is close to the northern Philippines and about 200,000 Filipinos live and work on the island, according to reports citing Bloomberg and Reuters. (taiwannews.com.tw) He also said Manila was urging a peaceful resolution. That remark adds another government to the public discussion around cross-strait contingency planning. It comes as U.S.-Philippine security ties have deepened and as northern Philippine bases have drawn greater attention in scenarios involving Taiwan, though Marcos in the cited remarks did not say the Philippines would intervene militarily. (news18.com) ### What comes next to watch? Taiwan’s defence ministry is likely to keep publishing daily updates on Chinese aircraft and ships operating around the island, as it has during previous drills and transits. Beijing, for its part, said the *Liaoning* deployment was part of an annual plan, which suggests more training details or follow-on movements could emerge in the coming days. (usnews.com) (straitstimes.com)

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