Commercial bankruptcies jump
Bankruptcy activity is rising sharply: U.S. bankruptcies climbed 14% in Q1 and commercial Chapter 11 filings rose 37% in the first quarter, signaling more business distress among occupiers. That divergence means leasing teams should expect a wider split between healthy tenants signing deals and fragile operators seeking shorter, more flexible terms. (newsweek.com) (baltimoresun.com)
Bankruptcy is rising again in the United States, and the sharpest move is inside business restructurings. Total filings reached 150,009 in the first quarter of 2026, up 14% from 132,094 a year earlier. Commercial bankruptcies rose 14% to 8,436. Commercial Chapter 11 cases, the part of the system companies use to keep operating while they renegotiate debt and leases, jumped 37% to 2,422 from 1,764 a year earlier. That is not a broad panic. It is a specific signal that more companies are running out of room to absorb high borrowing costs, weak demand, and old lease commitments that no longer fit the business (abfjournal.com; equipmentfa.com). The important split is between ordinary commercial filings and Chapter 11. A business that files Chapter 7 is usually done. A business that files Chapter 11 is trying to survive. So when Chapter 11 grows much faster than overall commercial bankruptcies, it means more tenants are not simply disappearing. They are trying to stay in place while they cut debt, shed stores, reject leases, and buy time. That matters to landlords because bankruptcy does not just remove a tenant from the rent roll. It turns the lease into a live negotiating document inside court (baltimoresun.com; agg.com). This surge did not come out of nowhere. Chapter 11 filings already hit a 10-year high in 2025, according to PwC’s 2026 restructuring outlook. Epiq’s monthly data then showed the pressure accelerating early this year: January commercial Chapter 11 filings rose 76% from a year earlier, and February rose 67%. Small-business Subchapter V elections, a cheaper Chapter 11 path created for smaller firms, were up 68% in January and 91% in February. By the time the quarter closed, the pattern was obvious. Distress was spreading from a few giant failures into the middle of the market (pwc.com; epiqglobal.com; abi.org). Retail has been one of the clearest places to watch that change happen. Forever 21 filed for bankruptcy again in March 2025 and moved toward liquidation of its U.S. stores. JOANN returned to Chapter 11 in January 2025 and later consummated a wind-down plan. Rite Aid filed again in May 2025 after emerging from an earlier case only months before. Party City’s second bankruptcy turned into a chainwide shutdown. These are not isolated stories. They show how quickly a tenant can go from “restructured” to “back in court” when sales stay soft and rent, labor, and inventory costs do not (cnbc.com; cases.ra.kroll.com; restructuring.ra.kroll.com; cases.ra.kroll.com). That is why the filing data matters for commercial real estate even when the economy does not look like it is in recession. The market is splitting. Strong tenants can still sign long leases in the best locations. Fragile operators cannot. They want shorter terms, kick-out rights, rent relief, or smaller footprints because they are trying to preserve cash and avoid becoming the next Chapter 11 statistic. For leasing teams, the practical change is simple: more prospects will arrive looking healthy on the surface and negotiating like companies that know the bankruptcy code now gives them one more option if the math stops working (deloitte.com; jonesday.com).