Options traders price 5.7% Nvidia move
- Nvidia heads into its May 20 earnings report with options markets implying a 5.7% post-results move, according to an X post circulating among traders. (investor.nvidia.com) - The most cited figure in the post was 5.7%, above a 4.7% historical average, while TipRanks showed 40 of 42 analysts rating Nvidia Buy. (tipranks.com) - Nvidia is scheduled to report first-quarter fiscal 2027 results after the close on May 20, with its webcast set for 5 p.m. ET. (investor.nvidia.com)
Nvidia goes into earnings on Wednesday with options traders bracing for a bigger-than-usual move in the stock. A post on X from TU_Crypto_News said the options market was implying a 5.7% move after results, compared with a 4.7% historical average cited in the post. Nvidia is due to report first-quarter fiscal 2027 results after the market closes on May 20, and the company has scheduled its webcast for 5 p.m. (investor.nvidia.com) Eastern. (tipranks.com) That setup matters because implied moves are one of the clearest readings of how much volatility traders are willing to pay for around an earnings event. The number does not predict direction. It reflects how far options pricing suggests the stock could swing up or down once results and guidance are out. (investor.nvidia.com) ### What does a 5.7% implied move actually tell you? A 5.7% implied move means the options market is pricing in a one-day earnings reaction larger than the 4.7% average move cited in the X post. In practice, that signals elevated demand for short-dated options protection or speculation ahead of the report. Nvidia shares closed at $220.61 on May 19, according to TipRanks earnings data. Using that closing price as a reference point, a 5.7% move would imply a swing of roughly $12.57 in either direction. (investor.nvidia.com) That is a calculation based on the quoted share price and the percentage cited in the post. ### Why are traders comparing it with a 4.7% historical average? The 4.7% figure gives traders a baseline for how Nvidia has typically moved after earnings, at least by the measure cited in the social-media post. (x.com) A gap between the implied move and that average can suggest options are richer than usual going into the event. History has not always translated into a rally. The same X post said Nvidia had finished lower in five of the past eight quarters after earnings, a reminder that beating estimates does not always produce an immediate gain in the stock. (x.com) ### How bullish is Wall Street going into the report? TipRanks showed Nvidia with a “Strong Buy” consensus based on 42 analyst ratings, including 40 Buy, one Hold and one Sell. (tipranks.com) That works out to about 95% Buy ratings on the figures visible on the page, while the X post cited 91% of analysts as Buy. The difference may reflect a different data source or time window. TipRanks also listed consensus earnings per share for the quarter at $1.75, versus $0.81 in the same quarter a year earlier. (x.com) Its page said Nvidia’s prior-quarter earnings call was viewed positively, while also flagging China revenue uncertainty and supply constraints in gaming. ### What will Nvidia actually report on May 20? Nvidia’s investor relations page says the company will release first-quarter fiscal 2027 financial results on May 20, 2026. (x.com) The quarter covered the period ended April 26, 2026, and the webcast is scheduled for 2 p.m. Pacific, or 5 p.m. Eastern. TipRanks said Nvidia had guided for first-quarter revenue of about $78.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, with data center expected to drive most of the growth. (tipranks.com) Investors will have the report itself, management commentary and the earnings call on May 20 to test whether the options market’s 5.7% implied move was too high, too low or about right. (investor.nvidia.com) (tipranks.com)