Oscars split: ‘Sinners’ vs PTA
The Oscars race is razor‑close tonight — ‘Sinners’ leads with a record‑tying 16 nominations while Paul Thomas Anderson’s ‘One Battle After Another’ sits at 13, and critics/betting markets remain divided on Best Picture odds There’s more Massachusetts nominees for Oscars than you might think. See list 2026 Oscars predictions: Who will win? Who should win? Our picks and best bets for every major category.
Paul Thomas Anderson swept the season’s big guild and critics prizes — the [DGA dga.org], the [PGA variety.com], the Golden [Globes goldenglobes.com] and Critics’ [Choice criticschoice.com] — building the kind of awards résumé that historically signals industry backing. Polymarket’s Best Picture market shows heavy trading and lopsided odds, with the platform recording tens of millions in volume and One Battle After Another trading well ahead of its [rivals polymarket.com]; combined prediction exchanges have seen more than $44 million wagered on Best Picture outcomes this season.ca.news.yahoo.com The Actor Awards presented a counterpunch: Sinners won Outstanding Performance by a Cast and Michael B. Jordan took the lead-actor prize at the SAG‑AFTA–branded ceremony on March 1, 2026, shifting late momentum toward Coogler’s film.variety.com Commercial performance underlines the split: Sinners has earned roughly $369.3 million worldwide, according to Box Office Mojo, while One Battle After Another sits near $209.4 million globally per the same box‑office tracking.boxofficemojo.com The season carries historic footnotes: Ryan Coogler’s run made him one of only seven Black filmmakers ever nominated in the Best Director category, and Sinners’ costume designer Ruth E. Carter became the most‑nominated Black woman in Oscars history with her latest nod.hollywoodreporter.com Final votes will be tallied at the Academy ceremony on Sunday, March 15, 2026 at the Dolby Theatre, where precursor results matter — the PGA’s top prize has matched the eventual Best Picture roughly 17 times in recent history, enhancing One Battle After Another’s predictive case.oscars.org
