xG explains late Spurs rescue
xG analysis shows Tottenham’s late Richarlison equalizer came despite far fewer clear chances—classic analytics context that flips the narrative from chance creation to finishing efficiency on the day [](https://x.com/i/status/2033286046084149741). Meanwhile AZ Alkmaar’s European matches show they’re averaging 4.1 xG, a signal their attack is consistently creating high‑quality chances as they push for continental qualification .
Liverpool’s expected‑goals split was 1.70 for Liverpool to 1.18 for Tottenham, according to match metrics from FotMob. (fotmob.com) Liverpool also dominated possession (63%–37%) and out‑shot Spurs 17–13, per the same match stat feed. (fotmob.com) Richarlison struck in the 90th minute to level the score, with the finish set up by substitute Randal Kolo Muani, as reported in the post‑match report. (espn.com) Across the season Tottenham have accumulated 30.1 xG from 29 matches, placing them 17th in FotMob’s xG table and underlining that their overall chance quality this term has been modest. (fotmob.com) AZ Alkmaar posted 3.42 xG in their 4–1 European win over Galatasaray and 1.61 xG in the 1–0 victory over Tottenham, according to match xG breakdowns. (xgscore.io) Those two European performances — the 4–1 win confirmed by ESPN/UEFA and the 1–0 win over Spurs noted in multiple reports — illustrate AZ’s ability to produce high‑quality chances in continental knockout ties. (espn.com)
