Trump tariff threat lifts oil above $100

Reporting says President Trump threatened a 50% tariff on China over alleged weapons shipments to Iran, and that the threat, combined with regional tensions, helped push oil prices above $100 and raise shipping concerns. Multiple outlets tied the tariff warning and Hormuz standoff to market moves and supply‑chain anxiety (cnbc.com) (indianexpress.com).

Oil jumped back above $100 a barrel on Monday after President Donald Trump threatened China with a 50 percent tariff over alleged arms shipments to Iran. (cnbc.com) Brent crude rose about 7.5 percent to $102.31 a barrel by 10:04 p.m. Greenwich Mean Time, according to Reuters market reporting cited Monday. The move came as the United States Navy prepared to begin a blockade tied to Iranian port traffic after U.S.-Iran talks ended without a deal. (newsbreak.com) Trump said Sunday he would hit China with a 50 percent tariff if Beijing sent Iran new air-defense systems, after a report said China was preparing a shipment of shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missiles. CNBC reported Trump said he doubted China would follow through but added, “if they do, they get 50%.” (cnbc.com) The immediate market focus was the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway at the mouth of the Persian Gulf that carries a large share of the world’s seaborne oil. The New York Times reported Monday that the United States said it would block ships entering or exiting Iranian ports or coastal areas starting at 10 a.m. Eastern. (nytimes.com) Oil traders have been reacting to both supply risk and shipping risk. Al Jazeera reported Monday that the Strait of Hormuz handles about one-fifth of global oil and natural-gas supplies, which is why any threat to traffic there quickly feeds into crude prices, tanker rates and delivery costs. (aljazeera.com) The tariff threat also widened the story from the Middle East to global trade. Reuters reported on April 9 that Trump had threatened immediate 50 percent tariffs on imports from any country supplying Iran with military weapons, with no exemptions. (yahoo.com) That legal path is disputed. Politico reported on April 8 that it was not clear what authority Trump would use to impose a new across-the-board tariff tied to weapons sales to Iran. (politico.com) Iran rejected the pressure campaign on Monday as the blockade deadline approached. The Indian Express, citing live war updates, reported that Iran warned a United States blockade in the Strait of Hormuz would violate the ceasefire and said it would not bow to threats. (indianexpress.com) The result was a market that had to price in three risks at once on April 13: a possible new U.S.-China trade fight, a military standoff around Hormuz, and tighter oil flows from Iran. As long as those three pressures stay in place, energy traders are likely to keep treating $100 oil as a live possibility rather than a one-day spike. (cnbc.com)

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