Rubrik profile with hands-on DCF
A detailed social post shared a full DCF table and growth metrics for Rubrik, noting revenue grew about 48% year-over-year to roughly $1.32 billion and included a risk assessment useful for valuation practice. The post provides concrete line items and growth assumptions that students can reverse-engineer to practice building three-statement and DCF models. Having a recent-company model with explicit growth and risk points accelerates technical prep by replacing hypothetical assumptions with real inputs. (x.com)
A discounted cash flow model is just a way to turn a company’s future cash into today’s dollars, like asking what 10 rent checks paid over 10 years are worth if you could invest the money elsewhere in the meantime. That is why a social post with Rubrik’s full model drew attention: it gave students actual line items instead of blank spreadsheet boxes. (x.com) Rubrik is a cybersecurity software company that sells backup, recovery, and cyber-resilience tools to enterprises that need to restore data after ransomware attacks. It went public on the New York Stock Exchange in April 2024 under the ticker RBRK, which makes it a fresh public-company case with current filings to study. (rubrik.com) (nyse.com) The numbers in the post were grounded in a real operating story. Rubrik said third-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue rose 48% year over year to $350.2 million, and fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue rose 46% year over year to $377.7 million. (sec.gov 1) (sec.gov 2) By January 31, 2026, Rubrik’s subscription annual recurring revenue reached $1.46 billion, up 34% from a year earlier. Annual recurring revenue is the contracted subscription base, which works like a salary run-rate for software companies because it shows how much revenue is already on the books before the next sale. (sec.gov) Rubrik also ended fiscal 2026 with 2,805 customers generating at least $100,000 in subscription annual recurring revenue, up 25% year over year. That customer count matters in a model because growth coming from thousands of enterprise accounts is usually steadier than growth coming from a handful of giant contracts. (sec.gov) The other reason the post is useful is that Rubrik is no longer just a “grow first, profits later” story. In fiscal 2026, the company said free cash flow exceeded $238 million, more than 10 times the prior year, which gives a discounted cash flow model an actual cash figure to build from instead of a distant hope of profitability. (finance.yahoo.com) (sec.gov) That is where the hands-on part comes in. A student can start with Rubrik’s reported revenue, annual recurring revenue, customer counts, and cash flow, then test how much the valuation changes if growth slows from the mid-40% range toward the company’s lower long-term guidance path. (sec.gov 1) (sec.gov 2) The risk side is just as important as the growth side. A discounted cash flow model can look precise down to the second decimal place, but for a newly public software company the result can swing hard if you change the discount rate, terminal growth rate, or margin assumptions by even 1 or 2 percentage points. (investopedia.com) (corporatefinanceinstitute.com) That sensitivity is not theoretical with Rubrik. Its share price hit $99.74 on June 2, 2025, and closed at $43.81 on April 10, 2026, while market capitalization sat around $10.4 billion in April 2026, which shows how quickly public markets can reprice the same business when sentiment and assumptions change. (companiesmarketcap.com) (finance.yahoo.com) (companiesmarketcap.com) So the value of the post is not that it “solves” Rubrik. It gives you a live company with recent filings, fast revenue growth, expanding cash generation, and enough uncertainty around future margins and growth decay to make the spreadsheet behave like the real world. (x.com) (sec.gov)
