2–3 year recession scenario lists key risks

- Analysts are assigning a 2–3 year recession risk in an adverse scenario built around an AI bubble pop, more than $9 trillion of public debt strains, a Japan yen unwind, and private-credit stress. - The roster of risks is explicit: AI bubble, $9T+ public debt, yen instability, and private-credit implosion. - Those combined tail risks are being used by policymakers to stress-test fiscal and financial resilience. (x.com)