Summer travel: book early
Major U.S. airlines have not yet significantly cut summer schedules or hiked base fares, but experts are advising travelers to book now and consider refundable tickets because conditions could change. (usatoday.com) Demand remains strong and carriers say they can raise prices quickly if oil stays volatile, so early booking is being recommended as a hedge. (travel.yahoo.com)
Summer fliers are being told to book now, not because fares have already jumped, but because airlines can raise prices fast if fuel stays volatile. (usatoday.com) As of Sunday, April 12, major United States airlines had not made broad summer schedule cuts or imposed big base-fare increases, even with oil markets reacting to the Iran conflict. (usatoday.com) Fuel is the pressure point. Airlines for America listed the Argus United States jet fuel index at $4.16 a gallon on April 8, and the International Air Transport Association said the global average jet fuel price rose 7.1% week over week to $209 a barrel. (airlines.org) (iata.org) Travel prices were already climbing before summer began. The U.S. Travel Association said its Travel Price Index rose 2.8% from February to March and 5.8% from a year earlier, while airline fares were up 14.9% year over year in March. (ustravel.org) That is why travel advisers are steering people toward earlier purchases and refundable tickets. The current market still has seats on sale, but carriers can reprice quickly if fuel costs stay high or demand holds up. (usatoday.com) (thepointsguy.com) The broader inflation data show how much of the recent pressure came from energy. Consumer prices rose 0.9% in March and 3.3% from a year earlier, with gasoline up 21.2% for the month, according to a Bureau of Labor Statistics report cited by CNBC on April 10. (cnbc.com) Airlines are not all responding the same way. Some executives have said demand is still solid enough to support higher fares, while travel analysts say the biggest near-term risk for passengers is waiting too long and losing today’s lower prices. (usatoday.com) (thepointsguy.com) The practical advice is narrow and time-sensitive: lock in summer flights while schedules are still intact, and pay extra attention to change and refund rules in case the fuel picture shifts again. (usatoday.com)