Russia ramps offensive

Russia has intensified a spring offensive in Ukraine with deadly attacks as U.S. attention is diverted by the Iran war — raising fresh concerns about missile shortages for Kyiv and stalled peace talks ( ). Observers say the campaign’s timing exploits global distraction and complicates Western support dynamics. ( ).

On March 24, outlets reported a massive Russian drone-and-missile barrage, with counts ranging from roughly 400 long-range drones to claims of as many as 948, and Ukrainian officials reported multiple civilian deaths and dozens of injuries from strikes that day. (pbs.org) The Institute for the Study of War recorded increasing mechanized assaults along the front since March 17 and described these as part of preparations for a wider spring–summer offensive, citing company- and platoon-sized attacks in sectors including Novopavlivka, Kupyansk and northwest of Lyman. (understandingwar.org) Trilateral peace negotiations involving Kyiv, Moscow and Washington have effectively paused since the Iran conflict escalated, with Western officials and analysts saying the diplomatic track has been put on hold amid the Middle East crisis. (euronews.com) President Volodymyr Zelensky told the BBC that U.S. Patriot production is about 60–65 interceptors per month (roughly 600–700 a year) and warned that hundreds of Patriot interceptors fired in the Iran war have created a growing deficit that could constrain air-defence supplies for Ukraine. (archive.org) Ukrainian military reporting and Reuters analysis say Kyiv is leaning on tactical innovations—expanded mid-range strike efforts and proven counter-drone techniques—to blunt Russian advances while seeking replacements for depleted interceptor stocks. (understandingwar.org) European states and partners have moved to plug gaps: Germany has shipped PAC-3 Patriot missiles to Kyiv and Ukraine is actively offering its counter-drone expertise to Gulf states as part of proposals to trade defensive capabilities with Allies facing shortages. (armyrecognition.com)

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