Smart Money Reportedly Buying Bitcoin Dips

On-chain analysis from Whale Factor indicates that smart money wallets were accumulating Bitcoin during the recent market consolidation and price dips. This suggests institutional or experienced investors are viewing the volatility as a buying opportunity.

This trend highlights a stark divergence between large-scale investors and smaller participants. While retail investors realized over $3.2 billion in losses on a single day in early February 2025, addresses holding over 1,000 BTC collectively acquired roughly 270,000 BTC in the surrounding 30-day period. On-chain data shows wallets holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC have been in a sustained accumulation phase, adding 230,000 BTC over the past three months to restore their balances to pre-October 2025 levels. This behavior is occurring while cohorts with less than 10 BTC have been persistently net selling for over a month. The number of "whale addresses"—those holding at least 100 BTC—has climbed to nearly 20,000, a key milestone suggesting a broadening base of large-scale holders. Concurrently, the number of unique entities holding at least 1,000 BTC has also grown, reinforcing that large players are absorbing supply from smaller sellers. Glassnode's Accumulation Trend Score confirms this split, with data indicating that only the largest whales (holding 10,000+ BTC) are in a "light accumulation" phase. A score closer to 1 suggests that, in aggregate, larger entities are accumulating, while a score near 0 indicates distribution or inactivity. This accumulation occurs amidst a "textbook consolidation" phase, with Bitcoin trading within a range after a period of heightened volatility. The market has also experienced an extended stretch of "Extreme Fear," according to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a condition that has historically preceded price recoveries. While this whale activity signals long-term confidence, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have shown mixed signals. The 90-day rolling average for net flows recently turned negative, a trend that has previously aligned with corrective phases. However, a recent single-day inflow of over $506 million ended a five-week streak of redemptions, triggering a significant short squeeze.

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