Summer fares heading up

Economists at Hopper are projecting domestic airfare will rise about 10% for summer travel as jet-fuel costs climb, a trend flagged by FOX61 today. (fox61.com) CBC reports airlines are already passing higher fuel costs to passengers after fuel prices more than doubled amid the Middle East conflict stretching past six weeks. (cbc.ca)

U.S. travelers heading into summer are facing higher ticket prices as airlines pass rising jet-fuel costs into fares. (fox61.com) FOX61 reported on April 15 that Hopper economists expect domestic airfare to rise about 10% as summer booking ramps up. In Windsor Locks, Connecticut, travelers told the station some trips were already costing nearly twice what they usually pay. (fox61.com) The fuel shock has been steep. CNBC reported on March 24 that oil prices had climbed more than 40% since February 28, while jet-fuel prices were up about 106% from a month earlier, citing the International Air Transport Association. (cnbc.com) Government and industry data show the same pressure building underneath airline costs. The U.S. Gulf Coast kerosene-type jet-fuel spot price was above $4 a gallon in early April 2026, and the International Air Transport Association says fuel typically accounts for roughly one-quarter to nearly one-third of airline operating costs. (eia.gov) (iata.org) That is hitting travelers just as the broader cost of travel is moving higher. The U.S. Travel Association said on April 10 that travel prices rose sharply in March 2026 after relative stability in January and February. (ustravel.org) Airfare had already started to turn up in official inflation data before the summer rush fully arrived. Federal Reserve data based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics show the U.S. airline-fares consumer price index reached 280.62 in February 2026, up from 271.06 in January. (fred.stlouisfed.org) The squeeze is not limited to flying. AAA said the national average for regular gasoline hit $3.98 a gallon on March 26, up $1 from a month earlier, and stood at $4.093 on April 16. (gasprices.aaa.com 1) (gasprices.aaa.com 2) That is changing the math on family trips. FOX61 used AAA data to estimate a round-trip drive from Hartford to Orlando at about $280 in gas, while the cheapest nonstop May round-trip flight on that route was about $156 per person, making the cheaper option depend on how many people are traveling. (fox61.com) Airlines and travelers now have the same problem: if fuel stays elevated into late spring, the summer fare jump that looked like a forecast in mid-April will look more like the base price of getting away. (fox61.com) (cnbc.com)

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