Prediction Markets Expand with New Platforms and APIs
The prediction market sector is seeing new product launches and infrastructure upgrades. Polymarket has released a public API to unlock permissionless liquidity and data integration. On Solana, Inframarkets launched the first energy prediction market for retail, while Duel Duck introduced a social prediction market using SOL.
- Institutional interest in prediction markets is growing, with one report indicating that just under half of all proprietary trading firms globally are considering or actively trading in these markets. This is driven by the search for unique data signals and new hedging instruments, with 60% of surveyed professionals believing prediction market data could supplement traditional indicators. - The total notional trading volume for prediction markets exceeded $63 billion in 2025, a 300% increase from 2024. Polymarket, which recently integrated with Jupiter on Solana, is a dominant player, reaching a new high of $3.02 billion in monthly volume in October 2025. - On Solana, early on-chain prediction market activity across platforms like Jupiter and DFlow has already surpassed $28.6 million in volume, with total fees generated exceeding $154,000. This suggests a growing appetite for such platforms within the Solana ecosystem. - New platforms are emerging to tackle market fragmentation. Fors, a prediction market aggregator on Solana, has launched a beta to unify data, pricing, and liquidity from various venues into a single interface. - Duel Duck's co-founder is influencer Cryptomannn, and its CEO is Stanislav Goruna, a six-time Ukrainian karate champion and 2020 Olympic bronze medalist. The platform aims for simplicity with peer-to-peer "duels" and influencer-hosted tournaments to engage users. - Inframarkets is targeting a niche, real-world asset class by offering event contracts on energy prices, power grid signals, and weather forecasts. - The new Polymarket API provides programmatic access to market data and an off-chain order book for more efficient trading, a feature crucial for algorithmic traders and data analysts. Access to the core data API is free, with premium tiers available for high-volume users requiring features like WebSocket feeds. - Analysis of Polymarket's on-chain data reveals a power-law distribution, where the top 1% of markets account for approximately 60% of all trading volume, and 50% of the volume comes from professional whales.
