Midterms: Turnout and Shifts
Thousands joined the “No Kings” rallies this weekend and several Senate candidates took part—signaling the Iran war and immigration policy are energizing protests and campaign messaging. Polling shows President Trump’s approval has slid to new lows with noticeable erosion among Latino voters and younger men, while Texas primary results and an unusually high number of toss-up House districts are already reshaping the 2026 map. (nytimes.com) (latimes.com) (apps.npr.org) (270towin.com)
Organizers said the March 28 “No Kings” day included more than 3,000 coordinated events nationwide, and the Star Tribune reported roughly 200,000 people at the flagship St. Paul rally. ( ) The St. Paul lineup included Sen. Bernie Sanders, performers Jane Fonda, Bruce Springsteen and Joan Baez, and Minnesota lawmakers such as Sen. Tina Smith, Sen. Amy Klobuchar and Rep. Betty McCollum. ( ) A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted March 20–23 found 36% of Americans approved of President Trump’s job performance, the lowest level recorded in that series, while a Quinnipiac national poll in early March showed 37% approval and 57% disapproval. ( ) The Economist/YouGov rolling poll in late March recorded Trump support among Hispanic/Latino respondents as low as 22%, and other surveys show approval among voters aged 18–29 as low as 25%, signaling the demographic moves cited by analysts. ( ) Texas’s March 3 primary left the GOP Senate contest without a majority—Sen. John Cornyn finished at about 41.9% and Attorney General Ken Paxton at about 40.7%, forcing a May 26 runoff—while state lawmaker James Talarico won the Democratic Senate primary with roughly 52.5% of the vote. (apps.npr.org) The consensus 270toWin House forecast as of March 26 showed Democrats with 211 seats, Republicans 206 seats and 18 districts in “toss-up” status, and multiple trackers have concentrated the most competitive House seats in California, Texas, Ohio, North Carolina and Arizona. ( )
