Player usage percent beats raw averages

- Analytics conversations on X argued that player usage percentage often outperforms raw per-game averages for prop betting and rotation forecasting. - Threads compared shot- and involvement-based usage metrics against vanilla xG and per-90 stats, using examples like Diogo Dalot’s versus Lionel Messi’s 0.6xG shots. - Analysts say custom models that include usage % and league averages reduce obvious mispricing in short-term player markets. (x.com) (x.com)